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Dollarama Inc. (DOL) — Retail · company analysis · CoinCompass
Retail · TSX · DOL

Dollarama Inc.

Canada's dominant dollar-store chain compounding double-digit sales growth and ~C$1.5B of free cash flow, now expanding into Latin America (Dollarcity) and Australia (The Reject Shop).

L'entreprise

Operates ~1,600+ value/discount stores across Canada with a fixed, low price-point model on consumables and general merchandise.

Owns a majority interest in Dollarcity (Latin America) and acquired Australia's The Reject Shop in 2025, adding international growth and consolidated revenue.

Vertically managed direct sourcing keeps costs low and gross margin near 45%.

Les avantages concurrentiels

Scale-driven purchasing power and direct global sourcing that smaller discounters cannot match.

National store density and brand trust as the default Canadian dollar-store, with pricing power via multi-price-point architecture.

Consumer trade-down tailwind: value retail gains share when household budgets tighten.

À lire aussi sur CoinCompass: Retail · FCF yield ranking. Pour les chiffres sous-jacents, voir stockanalysis.com — Dollarama overview.

Aperçu financier

Période déclarée la plus récente : Q1 fiscal 2027 (reported June 2026); fiscal 2026 ended Feb 1, 2026. Les chiffres reflètent la date de révision — confirmez les chiffres actuels avant d'agir.

Revenue (TTM)C$7.58B (+16.1% YoY)
Revenue (FY2026)C$7.26B (+13.1% YoY)
Net income (FY2026)C$1.31B (+12.1% YoY)
Q1 FY2027 same-store sales (Canada)+5.6%; total sales +21.4%
Operating cash flow (TTM)C$1.83B
Free cash flow (TTM)C$1.51B (capex ~C$0.32B)
Market cap~C$51.5B (share price ~C$191)

Rendement du flux de trésorerie disponible et croissance durable

Rendement du flux de trésorerie disponible : ≈2.9%TTM operating cash flow C$1.83B − capex ~C$0.32B = ~C$1.51B free cash flow ÷ ~C$51.5B market cap ≈ 2.9%.

Double-digit revenue growth from new-store openings, resilient same-store sales, and consolidation of The Reject Shop and Dollarcity.

Roughly C$1.5B of trailing free cash flow funds an aggressive share-buyback program (a bigger capital-return lever than the tiny dividend).

Low capex intensity relative to cash generation leaves ample reinvestment and buyback capacity.

Voir le classement complet du rendement du flux de trésorerie disponible

Valorisation et points à surveiller

Simple FCF yield ~2.9% — a premium/growth multiple, not a value name.

P/E ~39x (forward ~37x), reflecting consistent double-digit growth and best-in-class returns on capital.

Investors are paying up for compounding and international optionality rather than current cash yield.

Dividende

~C$0.48/share annually, ~0.25% yield — a token payout; capital is returned primarily through large ongoing share buybacks rather than dividends.

Risques et scénario baissier

  • Rich valuation leaves little margin for a growth or margin disappointment.
  • A reversal in the consumer trade-down cycle (stronger economy) could slow same-store sales.
  • Import cost inflation, FX and potential tariffs pressure the fixed-price model's margins.
  • International execution risk in Latin America and the newly acquired Australian business.

Faits récents

Q1 fiscal 2027 delivered 21.4% total sales growth and 5.6% Canadian comps with gross margin near 45%; guidance held.

The Reject Shop (Australia) acquisition consolidated into results, lifting reported revenue growth into the mid-teens.

Verdict

Dollarama is arguably the highest-quality retailer on the TSX — durable double-digit growth, ~45% gross margins and ~C$1.5B of free cash flow recycled into buybacks. The trade-off is price: at ~2.9% FCF yield and ~39x earnings, the market already credits years of compounding plus international expansion, so the risk is multiple compression on any stumble. CoinCompass is a publisher, not an investment adviser — do your own due diligence.

Sources

CoinCompass est un éditeur, et non un conseiller en placement inscrit. Il s'agit d'information et d'opinion factuelles pour un public général — pas une recommandation d'acheter ou de vendre un titre, ni un conseil personnalisé. Les chiffres sont les plus récents déclarés à la date de révision et changeront. L'auteur, John Wilson, a divulgué des positions à long terme dans des actions canadiennes (dont Boyd Group, Constellation Software et MTY Food Group) et peut détenir des positions dans les titres abordés. Faites vos propres recherches ou consultez un professionnel autorisé. Voir nos divulgations. John Wilson → · divulgations